Springboard Research notes a variety of factors that drive SMB’s in growth markets either towards, or away, from Linux. Though a significant proportion of adoption today remains server based, Linux adoption has the potential to impact the rest of the SMB market across the entire IT industry. We observe several key technical influencers that affect SMB decision-making, particularly in these high-growth markets.
In assessing the potential impact Linux may have among SMBs in growth markets – and the broader IT industry as a whole - it is important to first distinguish Open Source from Linux (refer "Open source and Linux: two different animals"). Linux may be the underpinning in many cases for a preference for open source applications, frameworks, tools and utilities. However, it is just one example of an open source solution.
Linux adoption in growth markets continues to increase, though not at a particularly rapid rate. Our research shows that, while the majority of SMB organisations have a strategic preference for Microsoft Windows-based server products, Linux continues to make inroads into the SMB-sized organisation. This is true regardless of region or industry (though some variances do exist).
When evaluating potential server platforms, SMB’s typically defer decisions to trusted third party advisors and/or suppliers. This influences decision making for platform selection. A significant influence in growth markets is the sheer weight of numbers – i.e., pervasive adoption drives more pervasive adoption (or said another way “success breeds success”). Where decision-making is clear and visible, we note the following major technical decision criteria:
Note that the above list does not focus on the strengths of the Microsoft platform for SMB’s. There are obviously many reasons why Microsoft remains attractive for this market segment. Nonetheless, Springboard Research observes that, as SMB organisations in growth markets develop a keener interest in emerging hosted/SaaS solutions, the underlying platform argument will once again become part of the technology platform decision criteria – and that Linux will continue to be seen as a credible and viable option.
Moreover, the volume of potential users for hosted and SaaS based solutions in growth markets brings an economy of scale argument that is hard to ignore. There are many other factors at play as well, such as the adoption of Linux in the hosted application service provider market. However, more broadly speaking, Linux is likely to have a chronic (rather than acute) effect within SMBs in growth economies.